Don’t Panic! How to use the Pullback Wisely!

September 25th, 2011

My latest interview with The Daily Gold

July 15th, 2011

 

Take a listen here and have a great weekend!

 

http://thedailygold.com/podcasts/thedailygold-podcast-with-kevin-kerr-715/?p=7139/

Commodities Watch Video Update for June 26th, 2011

June 26th, 2011

Commodities Watch Weekly Video Update for June 10th, 2011

June 12th, 2011

U.S. Corn-Crop Delays Signal Tightest World Supply Since 1974, Price Gains

June 8th, 2011

From Bloomberg-

Wet weather that delayed corn planting in the U.S., the world’s largest exporter,

may send global inventories to their lowest in 37 years, signaling higher costs for

consumers and livestock producers.

More than one-third of Midwest fields were planted after the mid-May target for

optimal growth because of excessive rain, and Ohio farmers as of June 5 were the

furthest behind since 1989, with 58 percent sown, government data show. Goldman

Sachs Group Inc. said June 6 that the disruptions increase the “potential for a

shortfall.”

Corn futures more than doubled in the past year to $7.365 a bushel inChicago

and may top $9 if conditions worsen, according to Morgan Stanley.

The rally is boosting costs for meat producers including Tyson Foods Inc. and

ethanol makers such as Poet LLC, as global food inflation tracked by the

United Nations accelerated in nine of the past 11 months.

“There’s potential to take out record highs this summer for corn,”

said Richard Feltes, a vice president of research at R.J. O’Brien & Associates,

a broker in Chicago. “There’s a lot riding on the need for our weather to normalize

and not be characterized by this regime of extremes that’s really been the pattern

since last fall.”

 

Full Story Here: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-08/u-s-corn-crop-delays-signal-tightest-world-supply-since-1974-price-gains.html

Commodity Confidential TV for June 1st, 2011

June 3rd, 2011

http://vimeo.com/24521881

Wheat sowings fall to low, while corn seedings fly

May 10th, 2011
From Agrimoney.com – http://www.agrimoney.com/news/news.php?id=3125
Wheat sowings fall to low, while corn seedings fly
By Agrimoney.com – Published 10/05/2011
Spring wheat planting slowed to its weakest pace since at least the early 1990s in the US, and to a trickle in Canada too, even as America’s corn farmers – in one week – sowed an area equivalent to Denmark and Switzerland combined.

Just 22% of US spring wheat was in the ground as of Sunday thanks to the wet conditions which continue to dog northern areas. In North Dakota, the main spring wheat state, just 7% was seeded compared with an average of more than one-half by now.

The overall figure compared with 61% typically sown at this time, and was the lowest since at least 1994, the earliest year for which readily available US Department of Agriculture data are available.

Indeed, it fell behind the pace of 1997, which has been reported as setting a record slow pace, and when yields fell 15% to 29.9 bushels per acre.

In 1995, another slow year for plantings, the yield ended higher, at 32.2 bushels per acre, but below the 1990s average of more than 34 bushels per acre.

Late snows

The pace was even slower north of the border, where Canadian farmers have planted 3% of their overall spring crops, compared with 40% by now, following snowfalls of up to 25cm, or 10 inches, on some areas two weekends ago. On farms where moisture fell as rain, precipitation reached 5.0cm.

Rain and “moderate temperatures have combined to stymie the general commencement of seeding across the Prairies”, the board said, adding that the poor sowing conditions were affecting “all western Canadian growing regions”.

However, while weather looks set to remain poor for Manitoba and Saskatchewan, “a high pressure system may keep Alberta sunny throughout the week, which could prompt widespread and rapid seeding in that province”.

‘Second fastest on record’

The fate of spring wheat farmers contrasted with that of corn growers who, following a drier spell in much of the Corn Belt, lifting sowings to 40% of their intended crop as of Sunday.

The 27% of the crop sown in one week equates to an area of nearly 25m acres, or nearly 39,000 square miles – bigger than Hungary or South Korea.

The progress was well above trade estimates of seedings reaching aruond one-third complete, and saw farmers play catch up towards average rates.

“Iowa farmers made the most progress, jumping from 8% to 69% complete, the second fastest weekly pace behind 64% completed in one week in 1992,” Kim Rugel at Benson Quinn Commodities said.

East vs west

And the progress was achieved despite wet weather continuing to hamper progress in eastern areas, with farmers in Indiana, Michigan and Ohio having less than 5%of their corn in the ground, compared with one-half typically by now.

“What is remarkable about this week’s progress is that it was accomplished with basically no participation by eastern Corn Belt states,” Steve Meyer at Paragon Economics said.

“Flying into Detroit International on Monday afternoon, it did not appear that eastern Michigan would catch up any time soon. There was a lot of water standing in fields.”

The eastern Corn Belt is due to receive “periodic rain events” throughout this week, Benson Quinn added.

In the six-to-10 day forecast, weather models indicate “scattered showers with cool temperatures over the eastern Corn Belt, while the western Corn Belt and Plains stay dry”, weather service WxRisk.com said.

© Agrimoney 2010

 

Kevin’s most Recent Interview with GoldSeek Radio

May 9th, 2011

Listen here

http://www.radio.goldseek.com/nuggets.php

Featured Guests:

Robert Kiyosaki &

Kevin Kerr

Host:

Chris Waltzek

MP3

Fast Quality Stream

Real Audio

Broadband Stream

Dial-Up Stream

 

 

So…Let’s go grocery shopping, in Estonia!

May 6th, 2011

Just like in America and elsewhere we have Supermarkets, there are several different ones, and they have a a lot of the same things, and a lot of things that are different…Since the euro has taken over as the currency here, we have seen prices rise at least 20%.

Often people (especially the pensioners) but really all ages, choose to shop at the “open air” markets….I will take you to two of those too.  You can laugh at my attempt to speak Estonian and get to see a little bit of what it’s like here in Tartu Estonia, dispel the “Borat”myth of Eastern Europe/former Soviet Union countries,  image he created…

C’mon go grocery shopping with me, I hate going alone…we’ll have fun.  By the way…Make the picture bigger when you’re watching it, unfortunately it was filmed on my i-phone and I don’t want you to go blind…lol

 

 

 

 

Questions or comments, go ahead and post them or send them to me art info@kerrcommoditieswatch.com

Rare Earths are a MUST for every portfolio, in our opinion

May 3rd, 2011

Read Full Story here                        http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/03/business/03rare.html?emc=eta1

HONG KONG — Rare earth prices are reaching rarefied heights.

Rahman Roslan for The New York Times

The facility in Malaysia would be the world’s largest rare earth refinery.

World prices have doubled in the last four months for rare earths — metallic elements needed for many of the most sophisticated civilian and military technologies, whether smartphones or smart bombs.

And this year’s increases come atop price gains of as much as fourfold during 2010.

The reason is basic economics: demand continues to outstrip efforts to expand supplies and break China’s chokehold on the market.

Neodymium, a rare earth necessary for a range of products including headphones and hybrid electric cars, now fetches more than $283 a kilogram ($129 a pound) on the spot market. A year ago it sold for about $42 a kilogram ($19 a pound).

Samarium, crucial to the manufacture of missiles, has climbed to more than $146 a kilogram, up from $18.50 a year earlier.

While the price inflation is a concern to manufacturers, consumers in many cases will barely notice the soaring cost of rare earths. Even though the materials are crucial to the performance of everyday equipment like automotive catalytic converters and laptop computer display screens, rare earths typically are used only in trace quantities.

One exception is the Toyota Prius hybrid car, whose manufacture uses a kilogram of neodymium.

Toyota has been raising prices for the Prius, but has cited demand for the car and economic conditions. While acknowledging that rising prices for raw materials in general have affected the company’s overall financial results, Toyota has declined to provide a breakdown of the role of rare earths. (Production problems stemming from the Japanese earthquake and tsunami have also crimped supplies of Prius cars, which are made only in Japan.)

The high prices for rare earths reflect turmoil in the global industry that mines and refines them. China, which controls more than 95 percent of the market, has further restricted exports so as to conserve supplies for its own high-tech and green energy industries. That is despite the World Trade Organization’s ban on most export restrictions.

Meanwhile, an ambitious effort to open the world’s largest rare earth refinery in Malaysia, which had seemed certain to begin operating by this autumn, is tied up over regulatory reviews of the disposal plans for thousands of tons of low-level radioactive waste the plant would produce annually. Public opposition to the refinery is evident in the weekly protest demonstrations now being held.

At the same time, Japanese companies are finding it harder than originally hoped to recycle rare earths from electronics and to begin rare earth mining and refining in Vietnam.

Although rare earths are crucial to the supply chains of some of the world’s biggest manufacturers, the industry that mines and refines them has long been characterized by small, entrepreneurial companies. Lately, though, soaring prices have contributed to industry consolidation.

Last month, for example, Solvay, a big Belgian chemical-industrial corporation announced that it would pay $4.8 billion to acquire Rhodia of France, a technological leader in making complex chemicals based on rare earths.

That same day, April 4, Molycorp, the only American company currently producing rare earths, said it had paid $89 million for a more than 90 percent stake in Silmet of Estonia, a much smaller company that is Rhodia’s only European rival in rare earth processing.

In Malaysia, where the giant rare earth refinery is under construction near the eastern port of Kuantan,  regulators are delaying approval for an operating permit amid public concern about naturally occurring low-level radioactive contamination of the rare earth ore, which will be mined in Australia.

Raja Dato Abdul Aziz bin Raja Adnan, the director general of the Malaysian Atomic Energy Licensing Board, said the board had asked the Lynas Corporation of Australia, which is building the refinery, to provide additional documentation before accepting its application for an initial operating permit. It will take up to six months to review the application, Raja Adnan said, and Lynas will not be allowed to bring any raw material to the plant until a permit is issued.

But Nicholas Curtis, Lynas’s executive chairman, said that he believed the company could obtain the necessary approvals before September and that his company was sticking to its plan to begin feeding Australian ore into the Malaysian refinery’s kilns by the end of that month.

The Malaysian government also announced last week that it would appoint a panel of international experts to review the safety of Lynas’s plans. The company said it welcomed the move.

But Fuziah Salleh, an opposition legislator who represents downtown Kuantan and has been leading weekly protests, is mistrustful.

“The people’s concerns are that the independent panel will be formed by the government to prove that they are right,” she wrote in an e-mail message.

Toyota Tsusho, a materials purchasing unit of the Toyota Group, has separately encountered complex local regulations as it seeks to open rare earth mining and processing operations in Vietnam. The project was announced last October during a Chinese embargo on rare earth shipments to Japan. Takeshi Mutsuura, a spokesman, said that Toyota Tsusho now hoped to reach a contract in Vietnam this summer and start production in early 2013.

 

 

Kerr Commodities Watch

Kevin has combined his 20 plus years in the futures industry with cutting edge technology delivered by KerrCommoditiesWatch.com to bring subscribers across the globe expert trade recommendations and resource opportunities in commodities and resource equities. Visit now and sign up!

Contact Kerr Trading International

 

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